As of 7pm Thursday, Invest 99L remained a cluster of showers and thunderstorms with an unorganized center south of The Bahamas. A weakening trend has been noted through the day with a loss of tropical storm force winds and less shower and thunderstorm activity.

After encountering some dry air and wind shear, conditions may become a bit more favorable for development as Invest 99L nears the Southeastern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. The National Hurricane Center gives the wave a 60-percent chance of becoming a named storm over the next five days. However, if the system scrapes Cuba and stagnates in harsh upper level conditions, the wave could dissipate as soon as tomorrow.

Still, residents in The Bahamas and Florida should monitor the progress of this disturbance. Regardless of development, heavy rain and some wind are possible in those areas over the weekend.

For Louisiana, it is important to remember this system is just a messy cluster of clouds. Without a well-defined center, Invest 99L will not be classified as a tropical cyclone. Additionally, such poor organization makes it very difficult for often reliable forecast models to pinpoint a track or intensity. Certainly, don’t let your guard down. Use this as a reminder of all that hurricane season preparation in June. Review your storm plan and stay in touch with the forecast. Seek out and share good information from the WBRZ Weather Team and the National Hurricane Center.

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