Developing tropical system moving toward Windward Islands, Caribbean Sea
The National Hurricane Center has started issuing advisories for Potential Tropical Cyclone Five in the east-central Atlantic Ocean. While a tropical depression or tropical storm has yet to officially form, the potential tropical cyclone designation means the NHC believes a tropical system will form affect land soon.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area and tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands have become better organized since Tuesday. However, recent satellite wind data indicates that the disturbance does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for continued development, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph.
Parts of the Lesser Antilles are under a tropical storm watch as rain, wind and surge are possible in the next 48 hours. As the system enters the Caribbean Sea, a fast motion and interaction with the Greater Antilles may limit rapid strengthening, but an organized system should last into the weekend. Into next week, a gradual turn to the north near Cuba, and perhaps Florida, is expected. However, the track and intensity forecasts will become clearer over the next several days.
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